The current heavy rainfall activity over Jammu and Kashmir, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh is expected to last until Friday, when the intensity is expected to decrease, according to the IMD.
The southwest monsoon activity has shifted northwards after a strong spell over western Maharashtra, Goa, and Karnataka last week, with IMD forecasting heavy to very heavy rain over at least 15 states until August 1.
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Uttarakhand, Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh
The current heavy rainfall activity over Jammu and Kashmir, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh is expected to continue until Friday, when the intensity is expected to decrease, according to the IMD.
The Met Office has issued a warning for Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh on Thursday, predicting isolated extremely heavy rain (over 204.4mm in 24 hours). During this week, landslides and mudslides were reported in these hilly states.
Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh will see heavy to very heavy rain (64.5mm to 204.4mm in 24 hours) during the same time period, according to the forecast.
A cyclonic circulation is currently affecting these northern states, which is located over North Pakistan and the Punjab province. Furthermore, this system is close to the western end of the monsoon trough.
Situation Of Eastern India
Enhanced rain is also expected in eastern and central India until August 1, according to the IMD. This is due to the approaching low pressure system, which is currently over West Bengal, and its subsequent movement through Bihar and Jharkhand over the next two days, according to the statement.
Until Friday, the Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, Odisha, and Jharkhand will experience widespread heavy spells. Rainfall will continue over Eastern Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh until Saturday, according to IMD’s forecast released on Wednesday.
Due to a wind convergence line running between the cyclonic circulation over Punjab and Gujarat, western Madhya Pradesh and adjoining eastern Rajasthan will see some heavy showers over the next two to three days, it said.
Maharashtra Floods and Rain
Over the west coast, heavy spells are expected in Konkan, Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra, with isolated very heavy rain expected until Sunday.
Satara, Sangli, and Kolhapur in Maharashtra, as well as parts of Goa and north Karnataka, experienced severe flooding and landslides last week, killing over 180 people.
The persistent off-shore trough running between south Gujarat and north Kerala is bringing moisture-laden strong westerly winds from the Arabian Sea, which is causing the ongoing rain. Since June 1, India has received 416.6mm of rain, which is 2% less than normal.
Kerala, Karnataka, Odisha, Gujarat, Chandigarh, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Sikkim have all experienced a lack of rain so far. All other states and union territories, with the exception of Gujarat and Chandigarh, have experienced extremely heavy rainfall.